Six Californias – What Would It Mean Politically?

Article originally posted on the California Business and Politics blog Fox & Hounds. Monday, August 11, 2014
Ethan Rarick and Jack Citrin

Ethan Rarick is the Director of the Robert T. Matsui Center for Politics and Public Service at the University of California, Berkeley. Jack Citrin is the Director of the Institute of Governmental Studies at the University of California, Berkeley.safe_image

We will say right up front that we believe there is no chance California will be allowed to subdivide itself into six states, a question that has submitted signatures in hopes of qualifying for the 2016 ballot. As we have explained elsewhere, we believe Congress would never approve such a plan, because it would dilute the political power of other states. But as a fun political exercise – and one that may yield some insights into the politics of California as it exists today – we analyzed how these six new states would shape up politically. (We’re not saying that any of these outcomes would be good or bad; we’re just presenting the data.)
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